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A proxy model of watercut in producing well with reservoir saturation  s=\{ s_w, \, s_o, \, s_g \} and reservoir pressure p_e:

(1) {\rm Y_{wm}} = \frac{1 +\epsilon_g}{1 - \frac{M_{ro}}{M_{rw}} \cdot \frac{B_w}{B_o} }, \quad \epsilon_g = \frac{A}{q_t} \cdot M_{ro} \cdot \left[ \frac{\partial P_c}{\partial r} + (\rho_w-\rho_o) \cdot g \cdot \sin \alpha \right]

where

M_{ro}(s)

Relative oil mobility

B_o(p_e)

Oil formation volume factor

s

Reservoir saturation \{ s_w, \, s_o, \, s_g \}

M_{rw}(s)

Relative water mobility

B_w(p_e)

Water formation volume factor

p_e

Current formation pressure

A

cross-sectional flow area




It provides a good estimate when the drawdown is much higher than delta pressure from gravity and capillary effects.



The model  (1) can also be used in gross field production analysis assuming homogeneous reservoir saturation: 

(2) s_w(t) = s_{wi} + (1-s_{wi}-s_{or}) \cdot \rm RF(t)/E_S

See also


Water cut (Yw)


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