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Natural Oil Depletion


The EUR during the natural oil depletion can be assessed with the following formula:


(1) {\rm EUR}_O = \frac{Q_O}{V_O} = \frac{ (p_i - p_{wf}) \, c_t}{(1-s_{wi})\, B_o} = \frac{ (p_i - p_{wf}) }{(1-s_{wi})\, B_o} \, \big( c_r + s_{wi} c_w + (1-s_{wi})c_o \big)

where  p_{wf}  is flowing bottom-hole pressure,  p_i – initial formation pressure,  B_o – formation volume factor for oil,   Q_o – cumulative oil production,  V_o – STOIIP,  s_{wi} – initial water saturation in oil pay.



The STOIIP V_O is related to reservoir oil volume V_o as:

(2) V_O = V_o/B_o

and to the reservoir pore volume V_\phi as:

(3) V_o = s_o \, V_\phi = (1-s_{wi}) \, V_\phi

so that

(4) B_o \, V_O = (1-s_{wi}) \, V_\phi \quad \Rightarrow \quad V_\phi = \frac{B_o \, V_O}{(1-s_{wi})}


The pore volume reduction due to
offtakes is:

(5) \delta V_\phi = Q_O \, B_o

thus leading to

(6) c_t = \frac{1}{V_{\phi}} \frac{\partial V_{\phi}}{\partial p} = \frac{1-s_{wi}}{B_o \, V_O} \frac{B_o \, Q_O}{\delta p} =\frac{1-s_{wi}}{\delta p} \frac{Q_O}{V_O} = \frac{1-s_{wi}}{\delta p} \cdot {\rm EUR_O}

where

(7) c_t = c_r + s_{wi} c_w + (1-s_{wi})c_o

is total compressibility of oil saturated formation and


(8) \delta p = p_i - p_{wf}

pressure reduction due to pore volume reduction caused by offtakes.

For low compressible oil, the total compressibility can be assumed constant c_t = \rm const and (6) becomes:

(9) \frac{1-s_{wi}}{(p_i - p_{wf \, min})} \cdot {\rm EUR_O} = c_t = \rm const

and

(10) {\rm EUR}_O = \frac{ (p_i - p_{wf \, min}) \, c_t}{(1-s_{wi})}


For the naturally flowing wells the bottom hole pressure under flowing conditions can be roughly assed by homogeneous multiphase pipe flow model assessed as:

(11) p_{wf} = p_s + \rho_g \, g\, h + \bigg( 1- \frac{\rho_g}{\rho_o} \bigg) \, p_b


where  p_s – tubing-head pressure defined by the production gathering system,  h – is the true vertical depth at formation top,  \{ \rho_o, \, \rho_g \} – oil and gas densities,  p_b – bubble-point pressure.



Natural Gas Depletion


The Expected Ultimate Recovery during the natural gas depletion can be assessed with the following formula:


(12) EUR_{GD} = \frac{Q_g}{V_g} = 1- \frac{p_{wf}}{p_i}


See also


Petroleum Industry / Upstream /  Production / Field Development Plan / Recovery Methods

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