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The EUR during the natural oil depletion can be assessed with the following formulaequation (see NDR @model for derivation):

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{\rm EUR}_{\rm NDR} O =  \frac{Q_oO}{V_oO} =  \frac{ (p_i - p_{wf}) \, c_t}{(1-s_{wi})\, B_o} =

 \frac{ (p_i - p_{wf}) }{(1-s_{wi})\, B_o} \, \big( c_r + s_{wi} c_w + (1-s_{wi})c_o \big)

where 

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bodyp_{wf_ \, {\rm min}}

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minimal flowing bottom-hole pressure

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bodyp_i

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initial formation pressure

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bodyB_o

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formation volume factor for oil,

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bodyQ_o

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cumulative oil production

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bodyV_o

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STOIIP

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bodys_{wi}

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initial water saturation in oil pay

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titleEUR Deduction

The total compressibility of oil saturated formation

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c_t = \frac{1}{V_{\phi}} \frac{\partial V_{\phi}}{\partial p} = c_r + s_{wi} c_w + (1-s_{wi})c_o

The STOIIP

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bodyV_O
can be written as:

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V_O = V_o/B_o = s_o \, V_\phi = (1-s_{wi}) \, V_\phi

The pore volume reduction due to offtakes is:

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\delta V_\phi = Q_o \, B_o

For low compressible oil, the total compressibility can be assumed constant

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bodyc_t = \rm const
and the pore volume reduction to due to offtakes can be related to pressure decline as:

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\frac{\delta V_\phi}{V_\phi} = c_t \, \delta p = c_t \, (p_i - p_{wf \, min})

The volume reducation is

and

hence

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\frac{Q_o \, B_o \, (1-s_{wi})}{V_o} = c_t \, (p_i - p_{wf \, min})

and



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{\rm EUR}_{\rm NDR} =  \frac{Q_o}{V_o} =  \frac{ (p_i - p_{wf \, min}) \, c_t}{(1-s_{wi})\, B_o}

For the naturally flowing wells the bottom hole pressure under flowing conditions can be roughly assed by homogeneous multiphase pipe flow model assessed as:

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Petroleum Industry / Upstream /  Production / Field Development Plan / Recovery Methods

Waterflood Recovery (WF) ]

NDR @model ]