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The EUR during the natural oil depletion can be assessed with the following formulaequation (see NDR @model for derivation):

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{\rm EUR}_O =  \frac{Q_O}{V_O} =  \frac{ (p_i - p_{wf}) \, c_t}{(1-s_{wi})\, B_o} =

 \frac{ (p_i - p_{wf}) }{(1-s_{wi})\, B_o} \, \big( c_r + s_{wi} c_w + (1-s_{wi})c_o \big)

where 

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bodyp_{wf_ \, {\rm min}}

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minimal flowing bottom-hole pressure

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bodyp_i

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initial formation pressure

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bodyB_o

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formation volume factor for oil,

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bodyQ_o

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cumulative oil production

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bodyV_o

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STOIIP

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bodys_{wi}

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initial water saturation in oil pay

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titleEUR Deduction

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body

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bodyV_o

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V_O = V_o/B_o

while the latter is related to the reservoir pore volume

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bodyV_\phi
as:

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V_o = s_o \, V_\phi = (1-s_{wi}) \, V_\phi

so that

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V_o = B_o \, V_O = (1-s_{wi}) \, V_\phi \quad \Rightarrow \quad V_\phi = \frac{B_o \, V_O}{(1-s_{wi})} 

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bodyQ_O

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\delta V_\phi = Q_O \, B_o

thus leading to

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c_t = \frac{1}{V_{\phi}} \frac{\partial V_{\phi}}{\partial p} = 

\frac{1-s_{wi}}{B_o \, V_O} \frac{B_o \, Q_O}{\delta p} =\frac{1-s_{wi}}{\delta p} \frac{Q_O}{V_O} = \frac{1-s_{wi}}{\delta p} \cdot {\rm EUR_O}

where

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c_t

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\delta p = p_i - p_{wf}



pressure reduction due to pore volume reduction caused by offtakes.

For

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bodyc_t = \rm const

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\frac{1-s_{wi}}{(p_i - p_{wf \, min})} \cdot {\rm EUR_O} = c_t = \rm const

and

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{\rm EUR}_O =  \frac{ (p_i - p_{wf \, min}) \, c_t}{(1-s_{wi})}

For the naturally flowing wells the bottom hole pressure under flowing conditions can be roughly assed by homogeneous multiphase pipe flow model assessed as:

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Petroleum Industry / Upstream /  Production / Field Development Plan / Recovery Methods

Waterflood Recovery (WF) ]

NDR @model ]