A proxy model of watercut in producing well with reservoir saturation  and reservoir pressure :

{\rm Y_{wm}} = \frac{1 +\epsilon_g}{1 - \frac{M_{ro}}{M_{rw}}  \cdot \frac{B_w}{B_o} }, \quad \epsilon_g = \frac{A}{q_t} \cdot M_{ro} \cdot \left[ \frac{\partial P_c}{\partial r}  +  (\rho_w-\rho_o) \cdot g \cdot \sin \alpha \right]

where

Water formation volume factor

Oil formation volume factor

Relative water mobility

Relative oil mobility

Current formation pressure

Water density

Oil density

Standard gravity constant

Total sandface flowrate 

Cross-sectional flow area

Deviation of flow from horizontal plane


It provides a good estimate when the drawdown is much higher than delta pressure from gravity and capillary effects.



The model  can also be used in gross field production analysis assuming homogeneous reservoir saturation: 

s_w(t) = s_{wi} + (1-s_{wi}-s_{or}) \cdot \rm RF(t)/E_S


See also


Water cut (Yw)