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Power Law mathematical model of Decline Curve Analysis is based on the following equation: 

(1) q(t)=q_0 \cdot \exp \left[ -D(t) \cdot t \right] = q_0 \cdot \exp \left[ - (D_0 + a \cdot t^{n+1} ) \cdot t \right]
(2) D(t) = D_0 ( 1 + a \cdot (n+1) \cdot t^n )

where

q_0 = q(t=0)

Initial production rate of a well (or groups of wells)

D_0 > 0

a

model parameter characterizing production decline

n

model parameter characterizing production decline

\displaystyle D(t) =- \frac{dq}{dQ}

production decline rate

\displaystyle Q(t)=\int_0^t q(t) dt

cumulative production


DCA Power Law decline is an empirical correlation for production from the infinite-reserves  Q_{\rm max} \leq \infty reservoir. 


Alternative form



The original form was developed as correction of Arps for tight gas and shales: 

(3) q(t)=q_0 \cdot \exp \left( -D_{\infty}t- \left( t/\tau \right)^{n} \right)

where

D_{\infty}

decline decrement at long times (the higher the D the stronger is decline)


See Also


Petroleum Industry / Upstream /  Production / Subsurface Production / Field Study & Modelling / Production Analysis / Decline Curve Analysis



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