A number characterising the prediction quality:
R^2 = 1 - \frac{MSE(x, \hat x)}{MSE(x, \bar x)} |
where
x = \{ x_1, \, x_2, \, x_3 , ... x_N \} | a variable represented by a discrete data set of numerical samples |
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\hat x = \{ \hat x_1, \, \hat x_2, \, \hat x_3 , ... \hat x_N \} | predictor of variable x, represented by another discrete data set of numerical samples, with the same number of samples N predicted at the same conditions as the original samples \{ x_1, \, x_2, \, x_3 , ... x_N \} |
\bar x | mean value of the variable x, which can be considered as some sort of extreme predictor with zero variability |
MSE(x, \hat x) | mean square error between a variable x and its predictor \hat x |
MSE(x, \bar x) | mean square error between a variable x and its mean value \bar x |
Thje