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Watercut WΣW History Matching @model predicts production adjustments coefficients \alpha_W(t), \ \alpha_O(t) from WΣW plot.



(1) WOR = \frac{\alpha_W(t) \cdot q_W^\uparrow}{\alpha_O(t) \cdot q_O^\uparrow}
(2) ΣWOR = \frac{ \int\limits_0^t \alpha_W(t) \cdot q_W^\uparrow \, dt}{ \int\limits_0^t \alpha_O(t) \cdot q_O^\uparrow \, dt}


The production adjustments coefficients  \alpha_W(t), \ \alpha_O(t) can be found from minimisation of the goal function: 

(3) E[\alpha_W(t), \alpha_O(t)] = \sum_t \ \min D \big( P_{\rm mod}(t), P_{\rm hist}(t) \big) \rightarrow 0

where  D is the distance between each historical point  and model curve on WΣW plot.

(4) D \big( P_{\rm mod}}(t), P_{\rm hist}(t) \big) = \sqrt{ \big( WOR_{\rm mod} - WOR_{\rm hist} \big)^2 + \big( ΣWOR_{\rm mod} - ΣWOR_{\rm hist} \big)^2 }


and  \min D \big( P_{\rm mod}}, P_{\rm hist} \big) means minimal distance between point  P_{\rm hist} = \big( ΣWOR_{\rm hist} , WOR_{\rm hist} \big) and the model curve P_{\rm mod} = \big( ΣWOR_{\rm mod} , WOR_{\rm mod} \big)


The results of the history matching are illustrated on Fig. 1 below.



Fig. 1.1 – WΣW plot before history matching

Fig. 1.2 – WΣW plot after history matching




Fig. 1.2 – The production adjustments coefficients from history matching



See Also


Petroleum Industry / Upstream /  Production / Subsurface Production / Field Study & Modelling /  Production Analysis / Watercut Diagnostics / Watercut WΣW plot









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