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One if the Watercut Diagnostics plots with  water cut (Yw) along y-axis and inverse liquid rate 

LaTeX Math Inline
body1/q_L
along x-axis (see Fig. 1Fig. 3).


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Fig. 1Good WaterFig. 2Bad Water with low pressureFig. 3Bad Water with high pressure

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The mathematical model of the thief water production from  aquifer is based on the following equation:

LaTeX Math Block
anchorqOW
alignmentleft
Y_W = a  + b 
/ q
\cdot q^{-1}_L
LaTeX Math Block
anchora
alignmentleft
a = \frac{J_{1W} + J_{2W}}{J_{1O} + J_{1W} + J_{2W}}
LaTeX Math Block
anchorb
alignmentleft
b = \frac{J_{1O} \cdot J_{2W}}{J_{1O} + J_{1W} + J_{2W}} \cdot (p^*_2 - p^*_1)

where


LaTeX Math Inline
bodyq_W

water production rate

LaTeX Math Inline
bodyq_

O

L

oil
liquid production rate 

LaTeX Math Inline
body--uriencoded--p%5e*_1

formation pressure in petroleum reservoir

LaTeX Math Inline
body--uriencoded--J_%7B1W%7D

water productivity index of petroleum reservoir

LaTeX Math Inline
body--uriencoded--J_%7B1O%7D

oil productivity index of petroleum reservoir

LaTeX Math Inline
body--uriencoded--p%5e*_2

formation pressure in aquifer

LaTeX Math Inline
body--uriencoded--J_%7B2W%7D

water productivity index of aquifer



The equation 

LaTeX Math Block Reference
anchorqOW
 suggests that water cut declines along with aquifer pressure decline.

It also suggest that water cut grows with decline of the petroleum reservoir pressure and decreases when petroleum reservoir pressure grows.


For the case of aquifer pressure is higher than that of petroleum reservoir:

LaTeX Math Inline
body--uriencoded--b > 0 \Leftrightarrow p%5e*_2 > p%5e*_1
,

which means that if aquifer pressure is higher than petroleum reservoir pressure then production increase will lead to the water cut  decline.

For the case of aquifer pressure is lower than that of petroleum reservoir:

LaTeX Math Inline
body--uriencoded--b < 0 \Leftrightarrow p%5e*_2 < p%5e*_1
,

which means that if aquifer pressure is lower than petroleum reservoir pressure then production increase will lead to the water cut  growth.


In practical applications, the equation 

LaTeX Math Block Reference
anchorqOW
 is often considered through the weighted average values:

LaTeX Math Block
anchor<qOW>
alignmentleft
<qY_W>W  = a\frac{ \,langle q_W \cdot <q_O> +rangle}{\langle q_L \rangle} = a  + b \, b\cdot \langle q_L \rangle^{-1}

where

LaTeX Math Inline
body

<q_W>

\langle q_W \rangle, \

<q_O>

\langle q_O \rangle

are weighted average of

LaTeX Math Inline
bodyq_W
 and
LaTeX Math Inline
bodyq_O


There are different ways to calculate weighted average of the dynamic variable, for example:

LaTeX Math Block
alignmentleft
<
\langle A 
>
\rangle_t \ = \frac{1}{t} \int_o^t A(t) \, dt
LaTeX Math Block
alignmentleft
<A>
\langle A \rangle_q \ = \frac{1}{Q(t)} \int_o^t A(t) \, q(t) \, dt


Cases

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Case 1

Fig. 4  – Good Water 

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