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One of mathematical models of Decline Curve Analysis based on the following equations: 


q(t)=q_0 \cdot \exp \left[ -D_0 \cdot \left( t+ \frac{a \cdot t^{n+1}}{n+1} \right)  \right] 



D(t) = D_0 \cdot ( 1 + a\cdot t^n )


where

Initial production rate of a well (or groups of wells)

model parameter characterizing production decline

model parameter characterizing production decline

Production decline rate

cumulative production


DCA Power Law decline is an empirical correlation for production from both finite-reserves  or infinite-reserves  reservoir. 


Alternative form



The original form was developed as correction of Arps for tight gas and shales

Ilk, D., Currie, S. M., Symmons, D., Rushing, J. A., & Blasingame, T. A. (2010, January 1). Hybrid Rate-Decline Models for the Analysis of Production Performance in Unconventional Reservoirs. Society of Petroleum Engineers. doi:10.2118/135616-MS


q(t)=q_0 \cdot \exp \left( -D_{\infty}t- \left( t/\tau \right)^{n} \right)



where

decline decrement at long times (the higher the the stronger is decline)


See Also


Petroleum Industry / Upstream /  Production / Subsurface Production / Field Study & Modelling / Production Analysis / Decline Curve Analysis

DCA Arps @model ] [ Production decline rate ]


Reference