Watercut WΣW History Matching @model predicts production adjustments coefficients   from WΣW plot by minimizing the following goal function:

E[\alpha_W(t), \alpha_O(t)] = \sum_t \ \min D \big( P_{\rm mod}(t), P_{\rm hist}(t) \big) \rightarrow 0


where  is the 
distance between each historical point  and model curve on WΣW plot:

D \big( P_{\rm mod}}(t), P_{\rm hist}(t) \big) = \sqrt{ \big( WOR_{\rm mod} - WOR_{\rm hist} \big)^2 + \big( ΣWOR_{\rm mod} - ΣWOR_{\rm hist} \big)^2  }


where

WOR_{\rm hist} = \frac{\alpha_W(t) \cdot q_W^\uparrow}{\alpha_O(t) \cdot q_O^\uparrow}
ΣWOR_{\rm hist} = \frac{ \int\limits_0^t \alpha_W(t) \cdot q_W^\uparrow \, dt}{ \int\limits_0^t \alpha_O(t) \cdot q_O^\uparrow \, dt}


and  means minimal distance between point  and the model curve .


The results of the history matching are illustrated on Fig. 1 below.



Fig. 1.1 – WΣW plot before history matching

Fig. 1.2 – WΣW plot after history matching




Fig. 1.2 – The production adjustments coefficients from Watercut WΣW History Matching @model



See Also


Petroleum Industry / Upstream /  Production / Subsurface Production / Field Study & Modelling /  Production Analysis / Watercut Diagnostics / Watercut WΣW plot