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Natural Depletion


The Expected Estimated Ultimate Recovery

Natural Depletion

during the natural depletion can be assessed with the following formula:

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EUR =  \frac{Q_o}{V_o} =  \frac{ (p_i - p_{wf \, min}) \, c_t}{(1-s_{wi})\, B_o} =

 \frac{ (p_i - p_{wf \, min}) }{(1-s_{wi})\, B_o} \, \big( c_r + s_{wi} c_w + (1-s_{wi})c_o \big)


where 

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bodyp_{wf}
 is flowing bottom-hole pressure, 
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bodyp_i
 – initial formation pressure,
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bodyB_o
 – formation volume factor for oil, 
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bodyQ_o
 – cumulative oil production,
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bodyV_o
 – STOIIP, 
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bodys_{wi}
 – initial water saturation in oil pay.


Expand
titleEUR Deduction


The definition of total compressibility

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c_t = \frac{1}{V_{\phi}} \frac{\partial V_{phi}}{\partial p} = c_r + s_{wi} c_w + (1-s_{wi})c_o \big

and can be split into rock, water, oil components:

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c_t = c_r + s_{wi} c_w + (1-s_{wi})c_o \big


For low compressible oil compressibility can be assumed constant

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bodyc_t = \rm const
and the volume reduction can be related to pressure decline as:

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\frac{\delta V_\phi}{V_\phi} = c_t \, \delta p = c_t \, (p_i - p_{wf \, min})
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\delta V_\phi = Q_o \, B_o

and

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V_o = s_o \, V_\phi = (1-s_{wi}) \, V_\phi

hence

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\frac{Q_o \, B_o \, (1-s_{wi})}{V_o} = c_t \, (p_i - p_{wf \, min})

and

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EUR =  \frac{Q_o}{V_o} =  \frac{ (p_i - p_{wf \, min}) \, c_t}{(1-s_{wi})\, B_o}

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p_{wf \, min} = p_s + \rho_g \, g\, h + \bigg( 1- \frac{\rho_g}{\rho_o} \bigg) \, p_b

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